Thursday, 15 September 2016

UK PMs Cameron/Blair bye bye -- legacy of war from Iraq to Syria and Libya


Ex-Prime Minister David Cameron, who has just resigned even as an MP, barely a couple of months after quitting as Prime Minister, is a true heir of  ex-Prime Minister Tony Blair, policy-wise  though not party-wise. In foreign policy terms both have pursued a policy of regime change from Iraq and Syria to Libya, wreaking untold misery on the people of the region.

Collectively around one million people have been killed in the three countries and at least five times more made refugees fleeing to Turkey and elsewhere with more than a million having reached Europe in one of the biggest and bloodiest migrations since the Partition of India in 1947.

And this tragedy is still unfolding, without any light at the end of  the tunnel.

Orchestrated by the regime changing leaders in the name of democracy, their actions have spawned demons like Daesh or IS, the so-called Islamic State, and a variety of other fanatical forces.

One of the early assessments of David Cameron’s ‘ill-conceived’ military intervention in Libya comes from none other than the House of Commons foreign affairs select committee which has a majority of members from his own Tory party with a Tory chairman.

The report, like that of the ‘Chilcot’ inquiry into the Iraq war, echoes  the designs, lapses and failures of  Tony Blair’s intervention in Iraq. In no uncertain terms, it slams Cameron’s Libyan adventure which ‘was not informed by accurate intelligence’ – an echo of Tony Blair’s handling of the Iraq situation which plunged the country into bloodshed and chaos, still unresolved.

The report concurs with US President Barack Obama’s observation that he Libyan war was “a shitshow.” In an interview with the Atlantic journal,  Obama had expressed his disappointment with the UK and France that their leadership had not done much on stabilisation and reconstruction of Libya after the overthrow of the Gaddafi regime. “ I had more faith in the Europeans, given Libya’s proximity, being invested in the follow-up.”

The report points out: “By the summer of 2011, the limited intervention to protect civilians (of Benghazi wo had broken away from the Gaddafi ambit) had drifted into an opportunist policy of regime change. That policy was not underpinned by a strategy to support and shape post-Gaddafi Libya.

“The result was political and economic collapse, inter-militia and inter-tribal warfare, humanitarian and migrant crises, widespread human rights violations, the spread of Gaddafi regime weapons across the region and growth of Islamic State in north Africa. Through his decision making in the National Security Council, former prime minister David Cameron was ultimately responsible for the failure to develop a coherent Libya strategy.”
           
Cameron’s failings in Libya, adds the report, mean that Britain now has a ‘particular responsibility’ to assist the war ravaged country and help deal with the flood of migrants heading for the shores to Europe.”  

Responsibility.  What responsibility? It’s a meaningless word in Blair-Cameron political lexicon. In his first response to a question after the select committee findings, Cameron is reported to have blamed the Libyan people for failing to take the chance of democracy offered by him! Like God-fearing Blair, he  is quite blasé about the whole affair and perhaps equally unrepentant.

And on responsibility for the thousands of people who have been killed or made refugees, the less said the better. During his reign as prime minister he could go no further than promise to allow just 20,000 refugees from Syria, and that too over five years. Compare that with Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel who boldly took in more than one million refugees, uprooted not by German actions but expressly by the armed interventions of Britain and France in Syria and Libya.

Blair still has no qualms about his role in the  war which, on a conservative British estimate, has caused 179,000 Iraqi civilian deaths and cost 179 British soldiers’ lives since 2003. His comment on the war and Chilcot report, if placed in a similar situation again, showed singular defiance when he said: “ I’d take the same decision.” His bond of friendship with the then US President George Bush that “I will be with you whatever...”  is legend for ever.   

The parliamentary committee’s report on Cameron’s war record is only the beginning of criticism of his policies and more will undoubtedly tumble out in days and months ahead. Yet like Blair  he too will get away, pretty unscathed. Perhaps that’s the nature of  power play and short public memory. More so, if it it’s happening to some people far away and not at one’s own home. The long awaited ‘Chilcot’ inquiry report into Blair’s doings is already looking a bit of history.    

Equally, national leaders everywhere are remembered or unremembered for their performance concerning events at home. On that score both Cameron and Blair have a pretty good  record. Both protected and promoted initiatives  and policies in the fields of school education and national health service, in their own way. National economy and jobs situation also held fairly well in comparison with European  and other countries.
So, there is every chance that the two prime ministers, like others before them, will get away with it all, not quite blameless nor quite unsung.   


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